Key Insights At National Level
U.S. home values for combined single-family detached and single-family attached properties increased by 2.8% in September 2024 from the same month last year, which is the lowest annual growth rate recorded within the last year.
On a month-over-month basis, non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) home values decreased by -0.3% in September 2024. On a seasonally adjusted basis, home values were basically unchanged from a month ago.
Nationwide home values continued their slight depreciation that started two months ago. However, they are still within 1% of their record high mark, getting some support from the downward trends in mortgage rates.
Valuation Model Datasheet
Key Insights At State Level
On a year-over-year basis, Mississippi, Oklahoma, and the District of Columbia are still in negative territory through the end of September 2024. Maine and Rhode Island continue to stand apart with the strongest annual home value growth.
On a month-over-month basis, about 70% of the states show non-seasonally adjusted home value depreciation in September 2024. North Dakota, Arkansas, and West Virginia had some meaningful home value appreciation of around 1% for the month.
On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the median month-over-month home value change across all states continues to hover around -0.3%, which is similar to the trend seen during the previous two months.
Top 50 CBSA Markets
On a year-over-year basis, North Port-Sarasota (FL), Austin (TX), Oklahoma City (OK), and San Antonio (TX) recorded the largest home value depreciation among the top 50 CBSA markets. At the other end of the spectrum, Cleveland (OH) and Providence (RI) continue to show strong annual home value growth.
On a month-over-month basis, about 82% of the top 50 CBSA markets show non-seasonally adjusted home value depreciation in September 2024. Austin (TX) is back at the top of this list with a -2.5% home values decrease, followed by Pittsburg (PA), San Francisco (CA), Los Angeles (CA), Boston (MA), and Denver (CO).
Home value depreciation continued in most markets during September 2024 but there are some signs of resilience. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the median month-over-month home value change among the top 50 CBSA markets was around -0.4%, which is a slight improvement over the previous month.
Why TerraIndex™ HPI
Our Home Price Index (HPI) is based on the proprietary Quantarium Valuation Model (QVM) value estimates for more than 100 million residential U.S. homes. QVM has been tested extensively in the last 5 years by some of the top third-party AVM testing agencies in the U.S. and has been consistently ranked at the top for both Accuracy and Hit Rate performance metrics. QVM was also recently approved by Fitch Ratings for Wall Street transactions. You can read the announcement here.
QVM re-computes the estimated values for the entire national footprint on a weekly basis, along with HPIs at various geography levels – from State, County, CBSA, down to Zip Code and Census Tract. Furthermore, the HPIs produced on any given date are based on proprietary valuation models which include over 90% of all sales transactions that will have been eventually reported through a four-week rolling period ending that date, taking advantage of Quantarium’s industry leading Data Services Platform (QDSP) to reduce the processing time lag to an absolute minimum. That allows Quantarium to provide the most current market insights, weeks faster than most other housing indices in the U.S. Learn more about TerraIndex™ HPI here.
The report for a given month is usually available on the second Wednesday of the following month, for example HPIs for the month of December 2022 were made available on Wednesday, January 11, 2023.
About Quantarium
Located in Bellevue, WA, Quantarium was founded by a team of leading scientists and Ph.D.’s. The company has designed and developed an innovative and enabling set of AI and Visual Technologies currently being deployed across multiple real estate industry sectors. Quantarium is one of the most accurate sources of property insights for over 158 million U.S. properties and trusted by major mortgage lenders, financial institutes, builders, direct marketing agencies, and real estate professionals across the nation. With a technology suite that is different in kind, then degree, the company’s products and services uncover and capitalize on the core DNA of vertical industries. From genetic modeling property valuations and markets that understand and interpret real estate data as expressed through synthetic future populations, through to CV adjusted values, Quantarium offers real AI to drive real value.
For business inquiries, please contact us at 424.210.8847 or discover@quantarium.com.
