TerraIndex™ HPI

December 11, 2024

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Key Insights At National Level

TerraIndex™ HPI National August 2024
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U.S. home values for combined single-family detached and single-family attached properties increased by 3.3% in November 2024 from the same month last year, helped by lower readings a year ago when home values registered larger decreases.

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On a month-over-month basis, non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) home values decreased by -0.2%, resuming their slight depreciation after a short pause last month. On a seasonally adjusted basis, home values increased by 0.2% from a month ago.

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Nationwide home values continue to show resilience, considering the high interest rates and near record prices which are sustaining an affordability crisis. We expect home values to finish 2024 with an annual home growth of around 3.5%.

 

Key Insights At State Level

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On a year-over-year basis, Oklahoma, the District of Columbia, Florida and Texas continue to show slight home value depreciation as of November 2024. Maine and Rhode Island continue to stand apart with the strongest annual home value growth.

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On a month-over-month basis, about half of the states show non-seasonally adjusted home value depreciation in November 2024. Missouri, the District of Columbia and Michigan recorded the largest home value decreases of around -1% for the month.

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On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the median month-over-month home value change across all states was -0.1%, which is similar to the previous month and shows signs of resilience as we go deeper into the slow season of the year.

Top 50 CBSA Markets

TerraIndex™ HPI Top 50 CBSA August 2024
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On a year-over-year basis, seven out of the top 50 CBSA markets recorded annual home value depreciation through November 2024, with North Port (FL) and Austin (TX) recording decreases of about -4%. In contrast, Cleveland (OH) and Providence (RI) continue to stand apart with strong annual home value growth of around 10%.

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On a month-over-month basis, about 55% of the top 50 CBSA markets show non-seasonally adjusted home value depreciation in November 2024, led by the western Florida markets surrounding Tampa and North Port. However, most of the monthly value changes seem to be fairly contained, ranging between -1.1% and +0.7%.

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Home value depreciation continued in the majority of markets during November 2024 but at a very slow pace. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the median month-over-month home value change among the top 50 CBSA markets was around -0.1% in November, in line with the numbers observed at State level as well.

Why TerraIndex™ HPI

Our Home Price Index (HPI) is based on the proprietary Quantarium Valuation Model (QVM) value estimates for more than 100 million residential U.S. homes. QVM has been tested extensively in the last 5 years by some of the top third-party AVM testing agencies in the U.S. and has been consistently ranked at the top for both Accuracy and Hit Rate performance metrics. QVM was also recently approved by Fitch Ratings for Wall Street transactions. You can read the announcement here.

QVM re-computes the estimated values for the entire national footprint on a weekly basis, along with HPIs at various geography levels – from State, County, CBSA, down to Zip Code and Census Tract. Furthermore, the HPIs produced on any given date are based on proprietary valuation models which include over 90% of all sales transactions that will have been eventually reported through a four-week rolling period ending that date, taking advantage of Quantarium’s industry leading Data Services Platform (QDSP) to reduce the processing time lag to an absolute minimum. That allows Quantarium to provide the most current market insights, weeks faster than most other housing indices in the U.S. Learn more about TerraIndex™ HPI here.

The report for a given month is usually available on the second Wednesday of the following month, for example HPIs for the month of December 2022 were made available on Wednesday, January 11, 2023.

About Quantarium

Located in Bellevue, WA, Quantarium was founded by a team of leading scientists and Ph.D.’s. The company has designed and developed an innovative and enabling set of AI and Visual Technologies currently being deployed across multiple real estate industry sectors. Quantarium is one of the most accurate sources of property insights for over 158 million U.S. properties and trusted by major mortgage lenders, financial institutes, builders, direct marketing agencies, and real estate professionals across the nation. With a technology suite that is different in kind, then degree, the company’s products and services uncover and capitalize on the core DNA of vertical industries. From genetic modeling property valuations and markets that understand and interpret real estate data as expressed through synthetic future populations, through to CV adjusted values, Quantarium offers real AI to drive real value.

For business inquiries, please contact us at 424.210.8847 or discover@quantarium.com.