TerraIndex™ HPI

August 14, 2024

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Key Insights At National Level

TerraIndex™ National HPI Report July 2024
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U.S. home values for combined single-family detached and single-family attached properties increased by 3.4% in July 2024 from the same month last year, the lowest year-over year reading in the last 11 months.

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On a month-over-month basis, non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) home values decreased by -0.3% in July 2024. On a seasonally adjusted basis, nationwide home values decreased by -0.4% in the last month.

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Home values in the U.S. dropped for the first time in the last 6 months, reaching a new inflection point in July 2024. The only other July in the last decade with negative home value growth was in 2022.

 

Key Insights At State Level

TerraIndex™ State HPI Report July 2024
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On a year-over-year basis, Mississippi, the District of Columbia, and Oklahoma registered home value depreciation through the end of July 2024. Rhode Island stands alone with the strongest annual home value growth.

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On a month-over-month basis, over half of the states show non-seasonally adjusted home value depreciation in July 2024. Vermont, New Jersey and North Dakota still show some meaningful appreciation over the last month.

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On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the median month-over-month home value change among all states turned negative at around -0.3% in July 2024, which is a steep decline from +0.8% just one month ago.

Top 50 CBSA Markets

TerraIndex™ Top 50 CBSA HPI Report July 2024
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On a year-over-year basis, five out of the top 50 CBSA markets recorded annual depreciation as of July 2024, led by North Port–Sarasota (FL), Austin (TX), and San Antonio (TX). Cleveland (OH) continues to show the strongest annual home value growth, followed by Providence (RI) and Hartford (CT).

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On a month-over-month basis, more than three quarters of the top 50 CBSA markets show non-seasonally adjusted home value depreciation during July 2024, led by San Francisco (CA). At the other end of the spectrum, New York (NY) and Hartford (CT) still show some meaningful home value growth.

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Home value growth turned negative in most markets in July 2024 even if we were still in middle of the summer buying season. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, the median month-over-month home value change among the top 50 CBSA markets was around -0.6% in July 2024, a sharp contrast from +0.5% just a month ago.

Why TerraIndex™ HPI

Our Home Price Index (HPI) is based on the proprietary Quantarium Valuation Model (QVM) value estimates for more than 100 million residential U.S. homes. QVM has been tested extensively in the last 5 years by some of the top third-party AVM testing agencies in the U.S. and has been consistently ranked at the top for both Accuracy and Hit Rate performance metrics. QVM was also recently approved by Fitch Ratings for Wall Street transactions. You can read the announcement here.

QVM re-computes the estimated values for the entire national footprint on a weekly basis, along with HPIs at various geography levels – from State, County, CBSA, down to Zip Code and Census Tract. Furthermore, the HPIs produced on any given date are based on proprietary valuation models which include over 90% of all sales transactions that will have been eventually reported through a four-week rolling period ending that date, taking advantage of Quantarium’s industry leading Data Services Platform (QDSP) to reduce the processing time lag to an absolute minimum. That allows Quantarium to provide the most current market insights, weeks faster than most other housing indices in the U.S. Learn more about TerraIndex™ HPI here.

The report for a given month is usually available on the second Wednesday of the following month, for example HPIs for the month of December 2022 were made available on Wednesday, January 11, 2023.

About Quantarium

Located in Bellevue, WA, Quantarium was founded by a team of leading scientists and Ph.D.’s. The company has designed and developed an innovative and enabling set of AI and Visual Technologies currently being deployed across multiple real estate industry sectors. Quantarium is one of the most accurate sources of property insights for over 158 million U.S. properties and trusted by major mortgage lenders, financial institutes, builders, direct marketing agencies, and real estate professionals across the nation. With a technology suite that is different in kind, then degree, the company’s products and services uncover and capitalize on the core DNA of vertical industries. From genetic modeling property valuations and markets that understand and interpret real estate data as expressed through synthetic future populations, through to CV adjusted values, Quantarium offers real AI to drive real value.

For business inquiries, please contact us at 424.210.8847 or discover@quantarium.com.